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Assessment of multiple predictors to the psychological effects of flooding for residential and business sectors in Peninsular Malaysia

Assessment of multiple predictors to the psychological effects of flooding for residential and business sectors in Peninsular Malaysia

Experiencing a severe flood can lead to profound emotional and mental distress, including anxiety, depression, and long-term stress. These mental health struggles often stem from the trauma of losing cherished possessions, disrupted daily routines, or the terrifying threat to personal safety and the lives of loved ones. Yet, because mental well-being is an “intangible” loss, it is frequently excluded from traditional flood damage calculations and public investment planning. If we cannot measure peace of mind, how do we convince policymakers to fund emotional and psychological recovery?

A new emerging research was conducted to understand the severity of psychological impacts of flooding in flood-prone regions in Peninsular Malaysia [1]. By using multivariate analysis, the study quantifies the specific factors that intensify the psychological burden on families and businesses, providing a data-driven roadmap for authorities to invest in human resilience alongside physical infrastructure. 

To understand the severity of the psychological impact, the research team carried out field work in  affected communities in Kuala Lumpur, Selangor, and Kelantan areas with a long history of devastating, large-scale evacuations to collect first-hand information from people who have experienced flood impacts [2,3, and 4]. Rather than asking residents to simply rate their stress on a scale, the researchers utilised a concept from disaster economics: determining the monetary amount a person would be willing to pay for flood mitigation services that specifically alleviate their psychological distress. While it might sound unusual to put a price tag on mental health, asking residents how much they would financially contribute to prevent future anxiety and stress serves as a powerful proxy. It translates human suffering into a language that cost-benefit analysts and government planners can understand and integrate into risk-based decision-making. The multiple variables involved in the multivariate analysis of the study are shown in Figure 1. 

Figure 1: A flowchart illustrating how socioeconomic and flooding variables (e.g., flood depth, family size, and income) feed into the calculation of psychological distress in the present study.

The study focused on 217 respondents across residential households and business premises. Through careful face-to-face interviews, researchers explored whether specific flood conditions (e.g., flood depth) or social characteristics (e.g., household income) worsened a person’s psychological suffering. Figure 2 shows an example house with a self-initiated concrete barrier  by the house owner to reduce the impact of flooding. This indicates their willingness to spend in order to reduce the burden of flood impact. When analysing residential households, the researchers uncovered two key statistical drivers of psychological distress:

  1. Flood duration (Flood characteristics): Interestingly, the depth of the floodwater was not the primary driver of psychological distress. Instead, the critical factor was time. The longer the floodwaters lingered around a home, the higher the psychological damage. Every additional day that families were displaced or forced to live in a submerged environment drastically increased their anxiety and stress.
  2. Family size (socio-economic characteristics): The study also revealed that larger households experience significantly more intangible damage. Specifically, the data showed that adding just one more individual to a family household could lead to a relative increase in the family’s psychological distress by approximately 12.5 percent. This is likely because larger families carry a heavier burden of responsibility during a disaster, increasing the stress of ensuring everyone’s safety, managing evacuations, and recovering lost resources.

Figure 2: A flooded residential building in the study area in Peninsular Malaysia, showing residents self-initiatives of building a concrete barrier for protection.

While the study also looked at local businesses, quantifying the mental health impact on business owners proved more difficult. However, the data tentatively suggested that larger, more established companies are better equipped to cope with the psychological shocks of a disaster compared to micro-businesses, likely due to greater resources and adaptive capacity. Figure 3 illustrates the total and average damage associated with the income categories.

Figure 3: A bar chart comparing the rising level of psychological distress relative to the number of residential respondents and income found from this study.

 

The findings from the Peninsular Malaysia offer a crucial lesson for global flood management: building resilience is not just about high-strength concrete for higher dams or deeper drainage canals. It is also about protecting human welfare. Because flood duration is such a massive driver of psychological trauma, emergency response mechanisms must be optimised to reduce the time victims spend waiting in flooded areas or temporary evacuation centres. Authorities must focus on rapid water clearance and rapid community recovery. Furthermore, because larger families are disproportionately affected by the stress of flooding, disaster relief programs need to provide targeted protection, early warning systems, and specialised evacuation planning for vulnerable, large households. Ultimately, intangible damages can sometimes be more severe than the physical losses of a disaster. By recognising and measuring the psychological impacts of extreme weather events, we can push for holistic policies that value human well-being just as much as the buildings we live in.

References

[1] Kabirzad, S. A., Rehan, B. M., Zulkafli, Z. D., Yusuf, B., Hasan-Basri, B., Toriman, M. E., and Penning-Rowsell, E. C.: An assessment of multiple variables predicting the psychological effects of flooding: Case study in Peninsular Malaysia, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2917, 23 April 2026.

[2] Malaysian Department of Irrigation and Drainage. Final report. Report, 2, December 2012.

[3] Abdullah, I. Kelantan Flood. Straits Times. https://www.nst.com.my/news/2015/09/kelantan-flood-more-20000-evacuated, 2014.

[4] Kuala Lumpur City Hall. (2015). Master Plan. In Master Plan, Vol. III, 2015.

 

Post edited by: Navakanesh M Batmanathan and Hedieh Soltanpour 

Shabir Ahmad Kabirzad is a doctorate graduate from the Department of Civil Engineering at Universiti Putra Malaysia (UPM) and was involved in research collaborations with the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology. Specializing in flood management, his work focuses on the intersection of flood and social vulnerability. Shabir’s research aims to quantify flood impacts to better inform climate resilience and public policy.


Dr. Balqis M. Rehan is a Senior Lecturer in the Department of Civil Engineering at Universiti Putra Malaysia (UPM). With a specialized focus on flood risk management, her research addresses the critical challenges of flood risk and sustainable infrastructure. She is dedicated to advancing flood modelling and mixed-methods research to enhance community resilience against flood risk.


Edmund C. Penning-Rowsell is a founder of the Flood Hazard Research Centre (FHRC) and a key figure in the Oxford Water Security Network, his pioneering work has defined the global standard for economic and intangible flood damage valuation. His research continues to shape international disaster risk reduction (DRR) policies and the understanding of community resilience.


Zed Zulkafli is an Associate Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering at Universiti Putra Malaysia (UPM). A leading expert in water resources and environmental hydrology, Dr. Zulkafli’s research emphasizes the integration of data-driven modelling and sustainable water management.


Badronnisa Yusuf is an Associate Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering at Universiti Putra Malaysia (UPM). A specialist in water resources, hydraulics, and engineering, her research focuses on developing sustainable infrastructure and advanced flood mitigation strategies. Dr. Badronnisa is committed to improving disaster resilience through data-driven hydraulic analysis and climate adaptation.


Bakti Hasan-Basri is an Associate Professor at the School of Economics, Finance and Banking, Universiti Utara Malaysia (UUM). An expert in environmental and resource economics, his research focuses on the socio-economic valuation of natural hazards. By applying advanced economic modelling to risk management, his work helps quantify the intangible costs of climate events, providing essential data for more effective and equitable public policy.


Mohd Ekhwan Toriman is a Professor in the School of Social, Development and Environmental Studies at Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM). His research focuses on the intersection of physical water systems and social development. Professor Toriman’s work is instrumental in developing integrated flood management strategies and sustainable land-use policies that protect vulnerable communities across Malaysia


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